This volume assembles methodologies and techniques to evaluate the poverty impact of macroeconomic policies. It deals with evaluating the impact of macro-economic policies or shocks on poverty and income distribution using cutting-edge approaches.
Policy-makers are increasingly becoming aware that, despite a positive effect on the average income of their citizens, many macro policies can sometimes produce deterioration in the welfare of specific groups. Similarly, poverty reduction policies designed to target specific individuals and/or households, may end-up producing macro (mostly fiscal) consequences.
Thus, the selection and implementation of economic policies requires a careful assessment of both their effect on aggregate economy and their effect on income distribution and poverty. Modern micro-simulation techniques that use micro data sets to 'simulate' the policy impact on all individuals in a sample that is statistically representative of an entire population are the most promising tool that can provide such careful assessment. This volume presents a comprehensive array of these techniques, from the simpler macro models that use representative household groups to link macro economic policies and microeconomic data, to more complex top-down modeling frameworks that combine (top) macro models and (down) micro-simulation models .The book also explores fully integrated models where the macro and micro parts feed back each other.
By providing a clear access to these techniques, documenting their analytical underpinnings, their data requirements, their range of applicability and even by highlighting some of their limitations, this book provides a unique compendium for practitioners, policy makers and anyone interested in economic development.
Introduction; F.Bourguignon, M.Bussolo & Pereira da Silva
Most recent extensions in CGE/ RHG modeling; S.Robinson & H.Lofgren
SECTION WITH TWO MICRO-ACCOUNTING TECHNIQUE PAPERS
Winners and Losers from Trade Reform in Morocco; M.Lokshin & M.Ravallion
A micro-macro assessment of the poverty impacts of the Doha and FTAA agenda for Latin America; M.Bussolo, J.Lay & D.van der Mensbrugghe
SECTION WITH TWO TOP-DOWN TECHNIQUE PAPERS
Top-down micro modeling: Examining the Social Impact of the Indonesian Financial Crisis using A Micro-Macro Model; F.Bourguignon, A-S.Robilliard & S.Robinson
Top-down micro modeling: Can the Distributional Impacts of Macroeconomic Shocks Be Predicted? A Comparison of Macro-Micro Models, with Historical Data for Brazil; F.Ferreira, P.G.Leite, Pereira da Silva & P.Picchetti
SECTION WITH FOUR INTEGRATED TECHNIQUE PAPERS
A CGE Integrated Multi-Household Model with Segmented Labor Markets and unemployment; F.Bourguignon & L.Savard
Integrated macro-micro model: Poverty Alleviation Policies in Madagascar: A Macro-Micro Simulation; Cogneau & A-S.Robilliard
Wealth Constrained Occupation Choice and the Impact of Financial Liberalization: Micro Income Distribution and Macro Growth; X.Gine & R.Townsend
SECTION ON DISAGGREGATION BASED ON PUBLIC SPENDING INSTEAD OF HH
Aid, service delivery and the MDGs in an economy-wide framework; F.Bourguignon, et al.
Conclusions; F.Bourguignon, M.Bussolo & Pereira da Silva
FRANCOIS BOURGUIGNON is Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist at the World Bank, USA. He is a specialist in the economics of development, public policy, economic growth, income distribution and inequality. As the World Bank's Senior Vice-President for Development Economics and Chief Economist since October 2003, he provides intellectual leadership and direction to the Bank's overall development strategy and economic research agenda, at global, regional and country levels. As a member of the Bank's senior management team he advises the President and Bank's management on economic issues.
LUIZ PEREIRA DA SILVA is at the World Bank, USA.
MAURIZIO BUSSOLO has been at the World Bank since 2003, and is working on quantitative analyses of economic policy and development, including studies of the links between trade, growth and poverty. Among his other activities, he monitors and forecasts economic trends in Latin America and contributes to the World Bank's Millennium Development Goals modelling effort. Before joining the World Bank, he worked at the OECD Development Centre and was previously research fellow at the Overseas Development Institute in London and, before, economist at Fedesarrollo and lecturer at the University Los Andes in Bogotá Colombia. He has published in international journals and his recent publications include: Globalization and poverty: Channels and Policies (jointly edited with Jeff Round). He holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Warwick, UK.
Description
This volume assembles methodologies and techniques to evaluate the poverty impact of macroeconomic policies. It deals with evaluating the impact of macro-economic policies or shocks on poverty and income distribution using cutting-edge approaches.
Policy-makers are increasingly becoming aware that, despite a positive effect on the average income of their citizens, many macro policies can sometimes produce deterioration in the welfare of specific groups. Similarly, poverty reduction policies designed to target specific individuals and/or households, may end-up producing macro (mostly fiscal) consequences.
Thus, the selection and implementation of economic policies requires a careful assessment of both their effect on aggregate economy and their effect on income distribution and poverty. Modern micro-simulation techniques that use micro data sets to 'simulate' the policy impact on all individuals in a sample that is statistically representative of an entire population are the most promising tool that can provide such careful assessment. This volume presents a comprehensive array of these techniques, from the simpler macro models that use representative household groups to link macro economic policies and microeconomic data, to more complex top-down modeling frameworks that combine (top) macro models and (down) micro-simulation models .The book also explores fully integrated models where the macro and micro parts feed back each other.
By providing a clear access to these techniques, documenting their analytical underpinnings, their data requirements, their range of applicability and even by highlighting some of their limitations, this book provides a unique compendium for practitioners, policy makers and anyone interested in economic development.
Contents
Introduction; F.Bourguignon, M.Bussolo & Pereira da Silva
Most recent extensions in CGE/ RHG modeling; S.Robinson & H.Lofgren
SECTION WITH TWO MICRO-ACCOUNTING TECHNIQUE PAPERS
Winners and Losers from Trade Reform in Morocco; M.Lokshin & M.Ravallion
A micro-macro assessment of the poverty impacts of the Doha and FTAA agenda for Latin America; M.Bussolo, J.Lay & D.van der Mensbrugghe
SECTION WITH TWO TOP-DOWN TECHNIQUE PAPERS
Top-down micro modeling: Examining the Social Impact of the Indonesian Financial Crisis using A Micro-Macro Model; F.Bourguignon, A-S.Robilliard & S.Robinson
Top-down micro modeling: Can the Distributional Impacts of Macroeconomic Shocks Be Predicted? A Comparison of Macro-Micro Models, with Historical Data for Brazil; F.Ferreira, P.G.Leite, Pereira da Silva & P.Picchetti
SECTION WITH FOUR INTEGRATED TECHNIQUE PAPERS
A CGE Integrated Multi-Household Model with Segmented Labor Markets and unemployment; F.Bourguignon & L.Savard
Integrated macro-micro model: Poverty Alleviation Policies in Madagascar: A Macro-Micro Simulation; Cogneau & A-S.Robilliard
Wealth Constrained Occupation Choice and the Impact of Financial Liberalization: Micro Income Distribution and Macro Growth; X.Gine & R.Townsend
SECTION ON DISAGGREGATION BASED ON PUBLIC SPENDING INSTEAD OF HH
Aid, service delivery and the MDGs in an economy-wide framework; F.Bourguignon, et al.
Conclusions; F.Bourguignon, M.Bussolo & Pereira da Silva
Authors
FRANCOIS BOURGUIGNON is Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist at the World Bank, USA. He is a specialist in the economics of development, public policy, economic growth, income distribution and inequality. As the World Bank's Senior Vice-President for Development Economics and Chief Economist since October 2003, he provides intellectual leadership and direction to the Bank's overall development strategy and economic research agenda, at global, regional and country levels. As a member of the Bank's senior management team he advises the President and Bank's management on economic issues.
LUIZ PEREIRA DA SILVA is at the World Bank, USA.
MAURIZIO BUSSOLO has been at the World Bank since 2003, and is working on quantitative analyses of economic policy and development, including studies of the links between trade, growth and poverty. Among his other activities, he monitors and forecasts economic trends in Latin America and contributes to the World Bank's Millennium Development Goals modelling effort. Before joining the World Bank, he worked at the OECD Development Centre and was previously research fellow at the Overseas Development Institute in London and, before, economist at Fedesarrollo and lecturer at the University Los Andes in Bogotá Colombia. He has published in international journals and his recent publications include: Globalization and poverty: Channels and Policies (jointly edited with Jeff Round). He holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Warwick, UK.
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