Poverty reduction is deemed to be a centrepiece of the Doha Development Agenda (DDA) currently being negotiated under the auspices of the World Trade Organization (WTO). Yet there is considerable debate about the poverty impacts of such an agreement. Some are convinced it will increase poverty, while others are equally convinced that it will lead to poverty reduction. This book brings together the best scientific methods to bear on this question, taking into account the specific characteristics embodied in the DDA. Since the trade/poverty field is relatively new, a variety of different methods are utilized to be most appropriate for the varied countries featured. It consistently considers a range of complementary policies that might enhance the poverty outcome of the DDA, permitting poor households to take better advantage of new opportunities that might arise from such multilateral trade reforms. In addition, a fifteen country study, coupled with the global analysis, allows the authors to draw more general conclusions about the poverty impacts of a prospective DDA.
'This book is published just in time...it is highly recommended as it not only presents the present state-of-the-art, but it is at the frontier. The editors did an excellent job in coordinating the individual studies and reviewing the individual chapters.' - Ulrich Koester, Eurpean Review of Agricultural Economics, Vol 35, No 1 March 2008
PART 1: EVALUATION OF THE DOHA DEVELOPMENT AGENDA
Poverty Impacts of a WTO Agreement: Synthesis and Overview; T.W.Hertel & L.A.Winters
Evaluation of the Doha Framework Agreement; K.Anderson & W.Martin
World Market Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda; T.W.Hertel & M.Ivanic
PART 2: PRICE LINKAGES
Multilateral Trade Liberalization and Mexican Households: The Role of Incomplete Price Transmission; A.Nicita
The Doha Trade Round and Mozambique; C.Arndt
PART 3: HOUSEHOLD IMPACTS OF PRICE CHANGES
The WTO Doha Round, Cotton Sector Dynamics and Poverty Trends in Zambia; J.Balat & G.Porto
The Doha Round, Poverty and Regional Inequality in Brazil; J.B.de Souza Ferreira Filho & J.M.Horridge
Growing Together or Growing Apart? A Village Level Study of the Impact of the Doha Round on Rural China; M.Kuiper & F.van Tongeren
PART 4: A FOCUS ON LABOUR MARKETS
Structural Change and Poverty Reduction in Brazil: The Impact of the Doha Round; M.Bussolo, J.Lay & D.van der Mensbrugghe
Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda on China: The Role of Complementary Education Reforms; F.Zhai & T.W.Hertel
Social Impact of a WTO Agreement in Indonesia; A-S.Robilliard & S.Robinson
PART 5: FISCAL REPLACEMENT OF LOST TARIFF REVENUE
Poverty Impacts of the Doha Round in Cameroon: The Role of Tax Policy; C.A.Emini, J.Cockburn & B.Decaluwé
Philippines: Doha Scenarios, Trade Reforms, and Poverty in the Philippines; C.B.Cororaton, J.Cockburn & E.Corong
PART 6: CROSS-COUNTRY ANALYSIS
The Effects of Prospective Multilateral Trade Reforms on Poverty in Fifteen Developing Countries; M.Ivanic
PART 7: THE DOHA DEVELOPMENT AGENDA, GROWTH AND POVERTY
Implications of WTO Agreements and Domestic Trade Policy Reforms for Poverty in Bangladesh: Short vs. Long Run Impacts; N.Annabi, B.Khondker, S.Raihan, J.Cockburn & B.Decaluwé
The Impact on Russia of WTO Accession and The Doha Agenda: The Role of Liberalization of Barriers against FDI in Services for Growth and Poverty Reduction; T.Rutherford, D.Tarr & O.Shepotylo
Long Run, Global Impacts of the Doha Scenario on Poverty; K.Anderson, W.Martin & D.van der Mensbrugghe
THOMAS W. HERTEL is Professor and Executive Director of Purdue University, USA, currently on leave with The World Bank. He specializes in the economy-wide analysis of trade policies and is the founding Director of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP). He has published numerous journal articles with several of these having won awards. He was Fulbright Senior Research Fellow with the Impact Project in Melbourne, Australia and a Visiting Fellow at the National Chengchi University, Taiwan. He is currently on the editorial boards of the Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Journal of Economic Integration and Pacific Economic Review. He has served as a consultant to the World Bank, the OECD, the European Commission, the Ford Foundation and the Australian Industry Commission.
L. ALAN WINTERS specializes in the empirical and policy analysis of international trade. His two hundred published books and articles cover areas such as regional trading arrangements, non-tariff barriers, European integration, East-West trade, agricultural protections, trade and poverty, and the world trading system. Now on his third period of employment with the World Bank as Director of the Development Research Group, he is on leave from his post as Professor of Economics at the University of Sussex, UK. He has been Editor of the World Bank Economic Review and Associate Editor of the Economic Journal. In addition, he has advised inter alia, the World Bank, OECD, DfID, the Commonwealth Secretariat, the European Commission, the European Parliament, UNCTAD, the WTO and the Inter-American Development Bank.
Description
Poverty reduction is deemed to be a centrepiece of the Doha Development Agenda (DDA) currently being negotiated under the auspices of the World Trade Organization (WTO). Yet there is considerable debate about the poverty impacts of such an agreement. Some are convinced it will increase poverty, while others are equally convinced that it will lead to poverty reduction. This book brings together the best scientific methods to bear on this question, taking into account the specific characteristics embodied in the DDA. Since the trade/poverty field is relatively new, a variety of different methods are utilized to be most appropriate for the varied countries featured. It consistently considers a range of complementary policies that might enhance the poverty outcome of the DDA, permitting poor households to take better advantage of new opportunities that might arise from such multilateral trade reforms. In addition, a fifteen country study, coupled with the global analysis, allows the authors to draw more general conclusions about the poverty impacts of a prospective DDA.
Reviews
'This book is published just in time...it is highly recommended as it not only presents the present state-of-the-art, but it is at the frontier. The editors did an excellent job in coordinating the individual studies and reviewing the individual chapters.' - Ulrich Koester, Eurpean Review of Agricultural Economics, Vol 35, No 1 March 2008
Contents
PART 1: EVALUATION OF THE DOHA DEVELOPMENT AGENDA
Poverty Impacts of a WTO Agreement: Synthesis and Overview; T.W.Hertel & L.A.Winters
Evaluation of the Doha Framework Agreement; K.Anderson & W.Martin
World Market Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda; T.W.Hertel & M.Ivanic
PART 2: PRICE LINKAGES
Multilateral Trade Liberalization and Mexican Households: The Role of Incomplete Price Transmission; A.Nicita
The Doha Trade Round and Mozambique; C.Arndt
PART 3: HOUSEHOLD IMPACTS OF PRICE CHANGES
The WTO Doha Round, Cotton Sector Dynamics and Poverty Trends in Zambia; J.Balat & G.Porto
The Doha Round, Poverty and Regional Inequality in Brazil; J.B.de Souza Ferreira Filho & J.M.Horridge
Growing Together or Growing Apart? A Village Level Study of the Impact of the Doha Round on Rural China; M.Kuiper & F.van Tongeren
PART 4: A FOCUS ON LABOUR MARKETS
Structural Change and Poverty Reduction in Brazil: The Impact of the Doha Round; M.Bussolo, J.Lay & D.van der Mensbrugghe
Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda on China: The Role of Complementary Education Reforms; F.Zhai & T.W.Hertel
Social Impact of a WTO Agreement in Indonesia; A-S.Robilliard & S.Robinson
PART 5: FISCAL REPLACEMENT OF LOST TARIFF REVENUE
Poverty Impacts of the Doha Round in Cameroon: The Role of Tax Policy; C.A.Emini, J.Cockburn & B.Decaluwé
Philippines: Doha Scenarios, Trade Reforms, and Poverty in the Philippines; C.B.Cororaton, J.Cockburn & E.Corong
PART 6: CROSS-COUNTRY ANALYSIS
The Effects of Prospective Multilateral Trade Reforms on Poverty in Fifteen Developing Countries; M.Ivanic
PART 7: THE DOHA DEVELOPMENT AGENDA, GROWTH AND POVERTY
Implications of WTO Agreements and Domestic Trade Policy Reforms for Poverty in Bangladesh: Short vs. Long Run Impacts; N.Annabi, B.Khondker, S.Raihan, J.Cockburn & B.Decaluwé
The Impact on Russia of WTO Accession and The Doha Agenda: The Role of Liberalization of Barriers against FDI in Services for Growth and Poverty Reduction; T.Rutherford, D.Tarr & O.Shepotylo
Long Run, Global Impacts of the Doha Scenario on Poverty; K.Anderson, W.Martin & D.van der Mensbrugghe
Authors
THOMAS W. HERTEL is Professor and Executive Director of Purdue University, USA, currently on leave with The World Bank. He specializes in the economy-wide analysis of trade policies and is the founding Director of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP). He has published numerous journal articles with several of these having won awards. He was Fulbright Senior Research Fellow with the Impact Project in Melbourne, Australia and a Visiting Fellow at the National Chengchi University, Taiwan. He is currently on the editorial boards of the Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Journal of Economic Integration and Pacific Economic Review. He has served as a consultant to the World Bank, the OECD, the European Commission, the Ford Foundation and the Australian Industry Commission.
L. ALAN WINTERS specializes in the empirical and policy analysis of international trade. His two hundred published books and articles cover areas such as regional trading arrangements, non-tariff barriers, European integration, East-West trade, agricultural protections, trade and poverty, and the world trading system. Now on his third period of employment with the World Bank as Director of the Development Research Group, he is on leave from his post as Professor of Economics at the University of Sussex, UK. He has been Editor of the World Bank Economic Review and Associate Editor of the Economic Journal. In addition, he has advised inter alia, the World Bank, OECD, DfID, the Commonwealth Secretariat, the European Commission, the European Parliament, UNCTAD, the WTO and the Inter-American Development Bank.
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