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Palgrave Macmillan

Fundamental Uncertainty

Rationality and Plausible Reasoning

  • Book
  • © 2011

Overview

Editors:
  1. Silva Marzetti Dall’Aste Brandolini

    1. University of Bologna, Italy

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  2. Roberto Scazzieri

    1. University of Bologna, Italy

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Table of contents (12 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xx
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  2. Introduction: Fundamental Uncertainty and Plausible Reasoning

    • Silva Marzetti Dall’Aste Brandolini, Roberto Scazzieri
    Pages 1-22

  3. Logic, Empiricism and Probability Structures

    • Henry E. Kyburg Jr.
    Pages 23-38

  4. The Weight of Argument

    • Isaac Levi
    Pages 39-58

  5. A Critical Evaluation of Comparative Probability

    • Vincenzo Fano
    Pages 59-72

  6. A Theory of Similarity and Uncertainty

    • Roberto Scazzieri
    Pages 73-103

  7. Generalized Theory of Uncertainty: Principal Concepts and Ideas

    • Lotfi A. Zadeh
    Pages 104-150

  8. Weight of Argument and Economic Decisions

    • Alessandro Vercelli
    Pages 151-170

  9. The Relevance Quotient: Keynes and Carnap

    • Domenico Costantini, Ubaldo Garibaldi
    Pages 171-210

  10. Non-Self-Averaging Phenomena in Macroeconomics: Neglected Sources of Uncertainty and Policy Ineffectiveness

    • Masanao Aoki
    Pages 211-231

  11. A Critical Reorientation of Keynes’s Economic and Philosophical Thoughts

    • Izumi Hishiyama
    Pages 232-271

  12. Uncertainty and Rationality: Keynes and Modern Economics

    • John Allen Kregel, Eric Nasica
    Pages 272-293

  13. Moral Good and Right Conduct: A General Theory of Welfare under Fundamental Uncertainty

    • Silva Marzetti Dall’Aste Brandolini
    Pages 294-330

  14. Back Matter

    Pages 331-348
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Keywords

About this book

This volume addresses the subject of uncertainty from the point of view of an extended conception of rationality. In particular, the contributions explore the premises and implications of plausible reasoning when probabilities are non-measurable or unknown, and when the space of possible events is only partially identified.

Editors and Affiliations

  • University of Bologna, Italy

    Silva Marzetti Dall’Aste Brandolini, Roberto Scazzieri

About the editors

SILVA MARZETTI DALL'ASTE BRANDOLINI is Professor of Economics, University of Bologna, Italy. She has published, amongst other research papers, 'Il comportamento razionale del policy maker', Economia Politica,1998; 'Economic and Social Demand for Coastal Protection',Coastal Engineering, 2005 (co-authored); 'Happiness and Sustainability: A Modern Paradox', in L. Bruni and P. L. Porta (eds), Handbook on the Economics of Happiness, Cheltenham, U.K. and Northampton, Mass., 2007; 'Recreational Demand Functions for Different Categories of Beach Visitors', Tourism Economics, 2009. She has also edited (in collaboration with A. Pasquinelli), John Maynard Keynes, Trattato sulla probabilità (Italian translation of J. M. Keynes's A Treatise on Probability) and (in collaboration with R. Scazzieri), La probabilità in Keynes, Bologna, 1999.

ROBERTO SCAZZIERI is Professor of Economic Analysis, University of Bologna; Senior Member, Gonville and Caius College and Clare Hall, Cambridge. He won the St Vincent Prize for Economics, 1984 and the Linceo Prize for Economics, 2004. He has authored A Theory of Production. Tasks, Processes and Technical Practices, Oxford, 1993; co-edited Foundations of Economics. Structures of Inquiry and Economic Theory, Oxford, 1986; Production and Economic Dynamics, Cambridge, 1996; Knowledge, Social Institutions and the Division of Labour, Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, US, 2001; Reasoning, Rationality and Probability, Stanford, 2008; The Migration ofIdeas, Sagamore Beach, 2008; Markets, Money and Capital. Hicksian Economics for the 21st Century, Cambridge, 2008; and Capital, Time and Transitional Dynamics, London and New York, 2009.

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