Facing up to AIDS

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xii

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2. Setting the Scene

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1

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   2. Introduction

      • Alan Whiteside

      Pages 3-12

   3. The Global Pandemic of AIDS

      • D. W. FitzSimons

      Pages 13-33

   4. Current Research on the Economic Impact of HIV/AIDS: A Review of the International and South African Literature

      • Jonathan Broomberg

      Pages 34-57

3. Modelling the AIDS Impact in South Africa

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 59-59

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   2. South African Trends and Projections of HIV Infection

      • Hilary Southall

      Pages 61-86

   3. The Demographic Impact of AIDS on the South African Population

      • Peter Doyle

      Pages 87-112

   4. Modelling the Demographic Impact of AIDS: Potential Effects on the Black Population in South Africa

      • Gwenda Brophy

      Pages 113-134

4. Economic Assessments for South Africa

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 135-135

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   2. A Socio-Economic Analysis of the Long-Run Effects of AIDS in South Africa

      • Sholto Cross

      Pages 137-157

   3. The Economic Impact of the AIDS Epidemic in South Africa

      • Jonathan Broomberg, Malcolm Steinberg, Patrick Masobe, Graeme Behr

      Pages 158-190

   4. Some Reflections on a Human Capital Approach to the Analysis of the Impact of AIDS on the South African Economy

      • George Trotter

      Pages 191-214

5. The African Experience

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 215-215

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   2. The Impact of AIDS on Industry in Zimbabwe

      • Alan Whiteside

      Pages 217-240

   3. The Medical Costs of AIDS in Zimbabwe

      • Richard Hore

      Pages 241-260

   4. Simple Methods for Monitoring the Socio-Economic Impact of AIDS: Lessons from Sub-Saharan Africa

      • Tony Barnett, Piers Blaikie

      Pages 261-292

6. Facing up to AIDS in South Africa

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 293-293

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   2. Lessons from Tropical Africa for Addressing the HIV/AIDS Epidemic in South Africa

      • Alan Fleming

      Pages 295-317

   3. Facing up to AIDS

      • Sholto Cross

      Pages 318-320

Facing up to AIDS is a novel and incisive study of a global plague which continues to threaten to engulf South Africa at this crucial moment in its history. Economists, demographers and health planners present a range of new methods of understanding the likely course of the disease, drawn from the most recent research and thinking by social scientists on the relationship between epidemic disease, economic growth and human resources. South Africa presents a unique opportunity for understanding AIDS, combining as it does Third World problems with a sophisticated infrastructure: the models of demographic projection and economic linkages which are explored here will be of major relevance for examining the socio-economic impact of AIDS in a range of countries in Asia and Latin America. Until medical science comes up with a miracle vaccine, the modification of behaviour is the only defence, and the essays in this volume make a powerful case for putting further resources into the research needed to bring this about.

• AIDS
• HIV
• HIV infection
• infection
• vaccine
• infectious diseases

• Urban and Rural Development, Independent Development Trust, Cape Town, South Africa

  Sholto Cross

• Economic Research Unit, University of Natal, South Africa

  Alan Whiteside

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