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  • © 2016

How the Fed Moves Markets

Central Bank Analysis for the Modern Era

Palgrave Macmillan
  • QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUE: Unlike the majority of research surrounding the Fed, this book shows how quantitative techniques for analyzing policy and efficiency projections.
  • EXPERT DATA ANALYST: Schnidman is a veteran of the professional finance world. He is the primary author of FedPlaybook.com, and writes for Bloomberg News, Seeking Alpha, Yahoo News, and Nasdaq on investor forecasting.

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Table of contents (17 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-x
  2. Introduction

    1. Introduction

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 1-5
  3. Emergence and Evolution: The Story of the Fed

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 7-7
    2. Origins: From Chaos to Structure

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 9-16
    3. Independence: Wars, Depression, and Politics

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 17-30
    4. Centralization: The Rise of Technocracy

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 31-38
    5. Transparency: Data Meets Democracy

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 39-48
  4. Fed Watching: Sentiment Analysis and Data-Driven Investing

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 49-49
    2. The Briefcase Watch: Fed Watching at Its Finest?

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 51-58
    3. Data-Driven Fed Watching: Comprehensive, Unbiased, and Quantitative

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 59-67
    4. Fixed-Income Investing: Fed Sentiment Drives Bonds

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 69-77
    5. Equity Market Investing: Macro Matters

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 79-88
    6. Forecasting Policy: Market Response to Fed Communication Trends

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 89-98
    7. FOREX Investing: Central Bank Sentiment Data across the Globe

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 99-111
  5. Global Monetary Policy: Analyzing Central Banks around the World

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 113-113
    2. ECB Sentiment: Decoding a Complex Monetary Union

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 115-125
    3. BOE Sentiment: The Origin of Modern Central Bank Communications

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 127-136
    4. BOJ Sentiment: Monetary Clues in Lost Decades

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 137-146
    5. RBA Sentiment: Australia as a Proxy for China

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 147-157
    6. Global Sentiment: International Central Bank Transparency

      • Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan
      Pages 159-181

About this book

Central banks have a profound impact on financial markets, and investors struggle to keep informed about their complex policy decisions. Technological and financial developments have transformed the US Federal Reserve Bank from a financial black box into a vocal, increasingly transparent institution—and the result is such a wealth of textual data that clues to future policy decisions may be lost among the details.

This book presents a solution to this problem by keeping track of those details. Schnidman and MacMillan demonstrate how the latest advances in automated text analysis, combined with the precision of domain expertise, are the keys to understanding how central banks move markets with their words. The authors outline a method to not only examine every piece of every central bank communication, but to do it in a way that is completely comprehensive and unbiased while quickly yielding hard, quantitative data that can be put to work in modern financial models.

About the authors

Evan A. Schnidman and William D. MacMillan founded Prattle, a text analytics company, to showcase their novel methodology and innovative financial data on central bank communications. CEO Schnidman holds a PhD from Harvard University, USA, and has extensive experience in finance and political economy. CTO MacMillan holds a PhD from the University of Michigan, USA, and has substantial experience as both a professional statistician and a corporate data scientist.

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: How the Fed Moves Markets

  • Book Subtitle: Central Bank Analysis for the Modern Era

  • Authors: Evan A. Schnidman, William D. MacMillan

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137432582

  • Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan New York

  • eBook Packages: Economics and Finance, Economics and Finance (R0)

  • Copyright Information: The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2016

  • Hardcover ISBN: 978-1-137-43257-5Published: 02 December 2015

  • eBook ISBN: 978-1-137-43258-2Published: 29 April 2016

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: X, 198

  • Topics: Banking, Financial History, Public Finance, Economics, general

Buy it now

Buying options

eBook USD 44.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book USD 59.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Other ways to access