The India-Pakistan Military Standoff

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xvi

   PDF

2. Introduction

   1. Introduction

      • Zachary S. Davis

      Pages 1-16

3. The Historical and Political Background of the Crisis

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 17-17

      PDF

   2. The Roots of Crisis—Post-Kargil Conflict in Kashmir and the 2001–2002 Near-War

      • Praveen Swami

      Pages 19-52

   3. Understanding the Political-Military Context of the 2002 Military Standoff—A Pakistani Perspective

      • Zafar Nawaz Jaspal

      Pages 53-63

4. The Conventional Military Environment

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 65-65

      PDF

   2. Military Dimensions of the 2002 India-Pakistan Standoff—Planning and Preparation for Land Operations

      • Gurmeet Kanwal

      Pages 67-95

5. Managing the Nuclear Environment

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 97-97

      PDF

   2. What Was Done to Achieve Strategic Stability during the Cold War? Lessons for South Asia?

      • Michael O. Wheeler

      Pages 99-125

   3. Pakistan’s Nuclear Force Posture and the 2001–2002 Military Standoff

      • Feroz Hassan Khan

      Pages 127-140

6. Outside Actors and Crisis Resolution: The United States’ Role

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 141-141

      PDF

   2. U.S. Crisis Management in South Asia’s Twin Peaks Crisis

      • Polly Nayak, Michael Krepon

      Pages 143-186

   3. The 2001–2002 Standoff: A Real-Time View from Islamabad

      • David Smith

      Pages 187-212

7. Avoiding Future Crises

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 213-213

      PDF

   2. Arms Control, Confidence Building, and Nuclear Risk Reduction—A Pakistani Perspective

      • Naeem Ahmad Salik

      Pages 215-227

   3. Conclusion: Lessons Learned and Unlearned

      • Zachary S. Davis

      Pages 229-236

8. Back Matter

   Pages 237-240

   PDF

This book focuses on the 2001-2002 crisis that brought India and Pakistan to the brink of war. Authors focus on: the political history that led to the crisis; the conventional military environment, the nuclear environment and coercive diplomacy and de-escalation during the crisis; and how South Asia can avoid similar crises in the future.

• crisis
• dialogue
• Diplomacy
• environment
• learning
• political history
• politics
• war

"This book offers the most detailed and expert analysis in the open literature of the 2001-2002 crisis between India and Pakistan. Not only does it provide new insights into the military and diplomatic moves in South Asia, it also contains important lessons for regional security, alliance relations, coercive diplomacy, crisis management and nuclear deterrence. Given the checkered history between these two South Asian rivals, the cautionary lesson from this volume is powerfully relevant today: that the factors that led to a successful de-escalation in 2001-2002 may no longer be present or effective when the next crisis comes." - Mitchell B. Reiss, President, Washington College and former Director of Policy Planning, U.S. Department of State, 2003-2005

"The 2001-2002 confrontation between India and Pakistan was a nuclear near-miss. Dr. Zachary Davis superbly edited volume places the crisis in historical context and helps us understand how - to borrow a phrase from Thomas Schelling - these two dynamite trucks managed to swerve and avoid a collision. Especially in the contributions from David Smith, Praveen Swami, Gurmeet Kanwal and Feroz Khan, we see how these rivals perceived the crisis and worked to avoid the worst outcome. In an especially valuable chapter by Michael Krepon and Polly Nayak, we also see the important role played by US policy managers. A decade after the crisis, the danger that terrorists will foment another Indo-Pak confrontation persists. This outstanding collection helps us understand how the 2001-02 crisis started and, more importantly, how conflict was averted. As such, it contains critical insights for the optimists about what can be done now to avoid a rerun, while for the pessimists it provides guidance on how to manage the next one." - Neil Joeck, Senior Fellow, Center for Global Security Research, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

• Center for Global Security Research, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, USA

  Zachary S. Davis

ZACHARY S. DAVIS Senior Fellow in the Center for Global Security Research at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, USA.

Policies and ethics